#4 BFG (17-8)

avg: 1979.89  •  sd: 74.74  •  top 16/20: 100%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
21 Public Enemy Win 12-11 1800.65 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
2 Seattle Mixtape Win 11-10 2146.63 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
3 Drag'n Thrust Win 14-8 2554.26 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
41 Storm Win 15-6 2079.16 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
11 Slow White Win 15-9 2342.78 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
1 AMP Loss 13-15 1939.71 Aug 5th 2018 US Open Club Championships
3 Drag'n Thrust Loss 13-15 1804.05 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
31 Metro North Win 15-10 2009.92 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
20 No Touching! Loss 9-11 1432.17 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
22 XIST Win 15-7 2218.05 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 11-15 1640.47 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
20 No Touching! Win 15-11 2062.55 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
75 Happy Hour** Win 13-5 1857.58 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
123 Image.Is.Everything.** Win 13-4 1613.28 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
81 Pegasus** Win 13-4 1837.29 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
13 Birdfruit Win 13-11 2008.13 Sep 22nd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 11-13 1792.79 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
14 Lochsa Win 12-9 2109.08 Sep 23rd Northwest Mixed Regional Championship 2018
38 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-6 2100.3 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
11 Slow White Win 16-15 1952.3 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 10-12 1704.86 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
20 No Touching! Win 15-8 2246.19 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 12-13 1837.94 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
7 Blackbird Loss 13-14 1766.68 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
22 XIST Win 15-5 2218.05 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)