#95 Ant Madness (19-15)

avg: 1147.28  •  sd: 73.97  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
56 Murmur Loss 7-13 763.64 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
100 FlyTrap Loss 5-13 514.37 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 13-7 1397.09 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
99 Legion Win 13-7 1672.79 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 8-12 802.06 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
126 American Hyperbole Loss 11-12 857.26 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
176 ThunderCats Win 13-4 1306.33 Jun 24th Summer Glazed Daze 2018
207 District Cocktails Win 10-5 1109.69 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
243 SPACE INVADERS** Win 13-2 620.63 Ignored Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
153 APEX Win 13-4 1453.35 Jul 21st SunRise Open 2018
60 NC Galaxy Loss 11-14 984.21 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 7-10 853.55 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
126 American Hyperbole Win 14-8 1518.29 Jul 22nd SunRise Open 2018
101 Tyrannis Win 12-9 1457.76 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
149 Crucible Loss 7-11 412.81 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
144 Rat City Win 12-3 1490.57 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
163 Stoke Win 12-6 1375.92 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 7-10 853.55 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
104 Shakedown Loss 11-12 975.57 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
101 Tyrannis Win 7-5 1440.53 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
156 Heavy Flow Win 10-7 1229.23 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
232 Baltimore BENCH** Win 11-2 889.24 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
239 Pandatime Win 10-7 556.84 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
179 LORD Win 11-5 1281.22 Sep 8th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Win 8-7 1368.22 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
24 Rally Loss 3-11 1011.11 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 7-6 1302.43 Sep 9th Capital Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
132 HVAC Loss 10-11 837.53 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
1 AMP** Loss 1-13 1553.89 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
149 Crucible Win 13-5 1479.71 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Win 12-8 1741.86 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
79 8 Bit Heroes Loss 11-12 1118.22 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
18 Loco Loss 6-15 1134.4 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 6-15 957.35 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)