#2 Drag'n Thrust (25-4)

avg: 2036.65  •  sd: 51.62  •  top 16/20: 100%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 No Touching! Win 13-5 2231.52 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Loss 9-10 1673.08 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
4 Mischief Win 13-11 2185.05 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
9 Blackbird Win 10-9 1950.7 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
8 Slow White Loss 9-13 1411.88 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
4 Mischief Win 12-10 2194.33 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
12 Snake Country Win 15-12 2092.52 Aug 2nd 2019 US Open Club Championship
1 Seattle Mixtape Win 15-9 2586.89 Aug 2nd 2019 US Open Club Championship
10 Space Heater Win 15-11 2197.6 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
12 Snake Country Win 15-10 2245.63 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
1 Seattle Mixtape Win 14-13 2196.41 Aug 4th 2019 US Open Club Championship
8 Slow White Win 12-10 2068.57 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 13-11 1956.35 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
10 Space Heater Win 13-9 2235 Aug 31st TCT Pro Championships 2019
34 XIST Win 15-8 2095.05 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 15-12 2028 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2019
3 AMP Win 13-9 2446.71 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2019
65 Northern Comfort** Win 13-3 1863.1 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
76 Mojo Jojo** Win 13-3 1823.93 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
143 Impact** Win 13-4 1494.95 Ignored Sep 21st North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
28 No Touching! Win 15-9 2147 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
31 NOISE Win 12-9 1933.75 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Win 15-8 2076.57 Sep 22nd North Central Club Mixed Regional Championship 2019
5 BFG Loss 10-15 1501.54 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-8 2257 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
14 Public Enemy Win 15-14 1884.91 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
8 Slow White Win 14-13 1955.45 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
1 Seattle Mixtape Win 15-12 2371.9 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
4 Mischief Loss 10-15 1502.6 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)