#117 The Process (13-15)

avg: 1032.39  •  sd: 85.82  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 11-10 1166.74 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
83 Birds Loss 11-15 844.38 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 9-15 1041.87 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
163 Stoke Win 15-5 1396.61 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
92 Garbage Plates Loss 10-12 925.23 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
113 The Bandits Loss 11-13 814.65 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
66 The Feminists Loss 10-15 829.95 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
165 Unlimited Swipes Loss 7-11 321.36 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
141 Powermove Win 5-1 1493.51 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
158 Philly Twist Win 7-6 940.1 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
99 Legion Win 12-6 1694.57 Aug 11th Philly Open 2018
127 Funk Win 9-8 1105.88 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
141 Powermove Win 11-10 1018.51 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
83 Birds Loss 10-11 1100.54 Aug 12th Philly Open 2018
222 I-79 Win 9-7 663.68 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Loss 7-9 1310.02 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
152 Peep Show Win 11-7 1322.25 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
18 Loco** Loss 0-11 1134.4 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
163 Stoke Win 9-4 1396.61 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 5-11 957.35 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
113 The Bandits Win 11-8 1409.1 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
157 Sabotage Win 12-9 1165.07 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
30 Jughandle Loss 4-13 957.35 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
99 Legion Loss 4-13 515.26 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater** Loss 1-13 1362.94 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
132 HVAC Loss 13-14 837.53 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
149 Crucible Loss 9-11 630.5 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
173 Fake Newport News Win 9-0 1341.57 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)