#1 Seattle Mixtape (31-5)

avg: 2071.41  •  sd: 44.5  •  top 16/20: 100%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
39 Birdfruit Win 11-2 2093.84 Jun 15th Northwest Mixer 2019
95 Garbage Win 11-5 1723.25 Jun 15th Northwest Mixer 2019
25 Lights Out Win 11-4 2243.79 Jun 15th Northwest Mixer 2019
11 Lochsa Win 11-6 2344.78 Jun 15th Northwest Mixer 2019
79 Pegasus** Win 11-3 1799.59 Ignored Jun 15th Northwest Mixer 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 13-11 1956.35 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
41 Jughandle Win 12-9 1809.2 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
17 Polar Bears Win 11-7 2176.53 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 13-7 2249.72 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
16 Love Tractor Win 13-9 2146.08 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
6 shame. Win 13-9 2346.57 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 9-15 1521.17 Aug 2nd 2019 US Open Club Championship
4 Mischief Win 13-12 2081.21 Aug 2nd 2019 US Open Club Championship
5 BFG Win 15-10 2408.75 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
4 Mischief Win 14-10 2354.91 Aug 3rd 2019 US Open Club Championship
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 13-14 1911.65 Aug 4th 2019 US Open Club Championship
30 Lotus Win 11-9 1866.59 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
46 Mesteño** Win 13-4 2044.29 Ignored Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Win 13-5 2241.97 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
38 Minnesota Star Power Win 11-8 1877.37 Aug 17th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
5 BFG Loss 11-13 1726.3 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
25 Lights Out Win 13-10 1971.93 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
26 The Chad Larson Experience Win 13-11 1870.81 Aug 18th Northwest Fruit Bowl 2019
37 Garage Sale Win 13-6 2121.16 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
95 Garbage** Win 13-3 1723.25 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
11 Lochsa Win 13-8 2294.24 Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
108 Surge** Win 13-4 1683.98 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
5 BFG Win 15-8 2519.95 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
22 MOONDOG Win 15-8 2237 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
79 Pegasus** Win 15-5 1799.59 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Club Mixed Regional Championship
17 Polar Bears Win 14-9 2183.5 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
10 Space Heater Win 15-12 2116.92 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
13 Toro Win 14-8 2304.12 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
19 Columbus Cocktails Win 15-11 2073.36 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
2 Drag'n Thrust Loss 12-15 1736.16 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
5 BFG Loss 12-14 1734.19 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)