#53 Darkwing (24-10)

avg: 1334.27  •  sd: 70.42  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
133 Townies Win 10-6 1457.31 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
220 Bees** Win 13-0 1003.91 Ignored Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
218 Equinox** Win 13-2 1045.77 Ignored Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
107 Sunken Circus Loss 8-10 814.85 Jul 7th AntlerLock 2018
58 Happy Valley Loss 12-15 1010.92 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Loss 9-12 666.74 Jul 8th AntlerLock 2018
180 HAOS** Win 12-5 1279.94 Ignored Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
102 Titan NE Win 13-7 1664.49 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Win 9-7 1291.44 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
148 WHUF* Win 11-7 1347.08 Jul 21st Vacationland 2018
57 Heartless Win 13-12 1438.66 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
108 Alt Stacks Win 14-3 1677.49 Jul 22nd Vacationland 2018
139 Nautilus Win 13-3 1515.89 Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
206 Varsity** Win 13-3 1142.7 Ignored Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
180 HAOS** Win 13-4 1279.94 Ignored Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
181 RIMIX** Win 13-4 1272.36 Ignored Aug 18th Chowdafest 2018
133 Townies Win 13-11 1189.99 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
57 Heartless Loss 12-13 1188.66 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
124 Albany Airbenders Win 13-4 1612.1 Aug 19th Chowdafest 2018
102 Titan NE Win 13-8 1603.12 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
195 Rainbow** Win 15-4 1195.18 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
209 DTH Win 15-8 1095.98 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Win 15-8 1642.33 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
102 Titan NE Win 13-5 1706.96 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 7-14 953.07 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
107 Sunken Circus Win 15-8 1642.33 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 10-15 1082.35 Sep 9th East New England Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
32 UNION Loss 9-15 1025.32 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
11 Slow White Loss 6-15 1227.3 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 8-12 1094.8 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
83 Birds Win 12-9 1570.91 Sep 22nd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
102 Titan NE Loss 9-11 857.76 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
57 Heartless Win 15-10 1767.26 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
83 Birds Win 14-10 1624.24 Sep 23rd Northeast Mixed Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)