#30 Jughandle (28-19)

avg: 1557.35  •  sd: 62.65  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
26 Alloy Loss 8-12 1148.2 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
1 AMP Loss 8-14 1617.85 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
24 Rally Win 13-11 1839.95 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 11-13 1734.1 Jun 16th Amp Invite 2018
9 Wild Card Loss 8-15 1308.84 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Battleship Loss 9-15 981.91 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
33 League of Shadows Loss 9-15 1020.47 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
66 The Feminists Win 14-6 1883.56 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
32 UNION Win 15-7 2140.8 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- Crash Win 15-10 1778.91 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
11 Slow White Loss 8-15 1262.49 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
114 Buffalo Lake Effect Win 13-8 1537.9 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
83 Birds Win 15-9 1741.02 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
117 The Process Win 15-9 1547.87 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
163 Stoke Win 13-7 1354.14 Jul 7th Philly Invite 2018
73 Chaotic Good Win 12-8 1706.8 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 14-9 1651.3 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
18 Loco Loss 7-13 1176.87 Jul 8th Philly Invite 2018
22 XIST Win 11-9 1867.25 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
73 Chaotic Good Win 12-6 1844.96 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
31 Metro North Loss 7-10 1166.65 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
104 Shakedown Win 13-6 1700.57 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
32 UNION Win 11-8 1906.41 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
31 Metro North Win 11-8 1921.93 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
6 Snake Country Loss 9-10 1817.98 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
149 Crucible Loss 6-8 579.21 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
59 Distelfink Loss 8-10 1038.04 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
158 Philly Twist Win 8-6 1115.6 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
113 The Bandits Win 9-7 1322.83 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
157 Sabotage Win 10-6 1315.86 Sep 8th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
149 Crucible** Win 13-5 1479.71 Ignored Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
117 The Process Win 11-5 1632.39 Sep 9th Founders Mixed Sectional Championship 2018
99 Legion Win 13-8 1611.42 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
117 The Process Win 13-4 1632.39 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 8-13 1466.78 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
87 Sparkle Ponies Win 14-9 1651.3 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
26 Alloy Win 12-11 1714.35 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
1 AMP Loss 10-15 1700.28 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
95 Ant Madness Win 15-6 1747.28 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
18 Loco Win 14-12 1955.36 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Mixed Regional Championship 2018
12 Mischief Loss 11-15 1403.19 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
5 Space Heater Loss 7-15 1362.94 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
2 Seattle Mixtape Loss 7-15 1421.63 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
22 XIST Win 15-10 2071.65 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
22 XIST Loss 12-14 1397.09 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
17 Polar Bears Win 14-12 1960.64 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
15 Toro Loss 11-14 1447.3 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)