#20 Grit (15-9)

avg: 1608.05  •  sd: 132.94  •  top 16/20: 13.3%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
11 Wildfire Win 12-11 1992 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
6 Scandal Loss 7-13 1619.07 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
7 Phoenix Loss 7-13 1494.32 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
13 Rival Loss 6-13 1235.07 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
16 Pop Win 9-4 2280.7 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Win 11-8 1761.18 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
31 Heist Win 13-11 1536.4 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
22 LOL Loss 11-12 1404.16 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Phoenix Loss 6-15 1451.86 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
24 Elevate Loss 7-8 1339.37 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Ozone Loss 6-9 1308.09 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
22 LOL Loss 9-11 1279.95 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
29 Virginia Rebellion Win 11-6 1932.77 Sep 7th Capital Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
62 Agency** Win 11-3 1390.78 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
98 Pickup Lines** Win 11-0 460.53 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
101 Oligarchy** Win 11-0 317.32 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
95 Suffrage** Win 11-0 687.59 Ignored Sep 7th Capital Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
39 Pine Baroness Win 13-10 1509.36 Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
63 Hot Metal** Win 13-3 1313.19 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
62 Agency** Win 13-2 1390.78 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
98 Pickup Lines** Win 13-0 460.53 Ignored Sep 21st Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
29 Virginia Rebellion Win 15-12 1686.57 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
68 Eliza Furnace** Win 15-5 1261.79 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
6 Scandal Loss 12-14 1955.64 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Club Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)