#17 Grit (18-10)

avg: 1722.02  •  sd: 79.94  •  top 16/20: 37.2%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- Iris Loss 9-13 1375.25 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Eclipse Win 12-7 1648.91 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- PPF Loss 10-13 1287.28 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
21 Siege Loss 9-15 1084.15 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
43 Green Means Go Win 15-9 1512.08 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
53 Backhanded** Win 15-3 1330.82 Ignored Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- PPF Loss 11-12 1490.43 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
20 Underground Win 12-8 2084.69 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
9 Schwa Win 12-9 2183.33 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
10 Nemesis Loss 12-13 1699.48 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
14 Showdown Win 10-8 1993.8 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
6 6ixers Loss 4-13 1416.35 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
32 FAB Win 15-3 1790.7 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
6 6ixers Loss 8-15 1451.54 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
16 Heist Loss 12-13 1597.08 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
1 Brute Squad Loss 11-15 2081.51 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
35 Hot Metal Win 15-9 1653.44 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
21 Siege Win 15-8 2164.44 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
29 Virginia Rebellion Win 15-11 1737.61 Sep 8th Capital Womens Sectional Championship 2018
53 Backhanded** Win 15-3 1330.82 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Womens Sectional Championship 2018
64 Suffrage** Win 15-1 1107.05 Ignored Sep 8th Capital Womens Sectional Championship 2018
35 Hot Metal Win 13-7 1695.49 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
64 Suffrage** Win 13-3 1107.05 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
42 Pine Baroness** Win 13-3 1622.63 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
67 Broad City** Win 13-1 1036.92 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
29 Virginia Rebellion Win 15-6 1956.45 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
53 Backhanded** Win 15-4 1330.82 Ignored Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
5 Scandal Loss 8-15 1538.29 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)