#92 HOPE (3-22)

avg: 171.34  •  sd: 77.98  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 Versa Loss 6-15 -208.97 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
58 Agency** Loss 2-15 261.73 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
- Valley Ultimate U20 Girls Loss 9-15 -206.31 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
71 PLOW Loss 6-15 46.46 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
95 Roc Paper Scissors Win 14-6 552.98 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
- BUDA U20G Loss 4-13 -72.51 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
41 Vice** Loss 0-13 575.88 Ignored Jul 13th Ow My Knee
73 Ignite Loss 9-10 491.72 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
71 PLOW Loss 3-13 46.46 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
98 DINO Win 8-6 125.95 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
43 Rebel Rebel Loss 4-9 550.87 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
41 Vice** Loss 4-12 575.88 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
65 Eliza Furnace Loss 4-13 125.78 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
73 Ignite Loss 2-13 16.72 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
81 Rush Hour Loss 5-7 -5.93 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
79 Versa Win 11-8 756.64 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
65 Eliza Furnace Loss 5-10 151.88 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
73 Ignite Loss 2-13 16.72 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
79 Versa Loss 7-8 266.03 Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
41 Vice** Loss 1-13 575.88 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
24 Salty** Loss 2-13 863.7 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Siege** Loss 1-13 1313.69 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
79 Versa Loss 8-10 128.37 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Frolic** Loss 1-13 564.85 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Frolic** Loss 1-13 564.85 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)