#14 Showdown (18-10)

avg: 1731.13  •  sd: 114.14  •  top 16/20: 44.9%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- Temptress** Win 11-0 632.09 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
- Texas Tango** Win 11-0 877.48 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
54 Maeve** Win 11-1 1317.19 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
- Cazadora** Win 11-0 461.76 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
62 Inferno** Win 11-0 1173.17 Ignored Jun 30th Texas Two Finger 2018
15 Wildfire Win 11-10 1848.35 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
11 Rival Loss 7-13 1246.65 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
4 Seattle Riot Loss 6-13 1663.78 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
12 Traffic Loss 11-13 1540.23 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 Nemesis Win 10-9 1949.48 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
23 LOL Win 13-8 2006.38 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
2 Fury** Loss 5-15 1760.71 Ignored Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
3 Molly Brown Loss 9-15 1758.09 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
21 Siege Win 12-10 1837.76 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
8 Nightlock Win 14-11 2233.73 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
10 Nemesis Win 15-14 1949.48 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
8 Nightlock Loss 11-15 1539.23 Aug 5th 2018 US Open Club Championships
16 Heist Loss 9-13 1303.51 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
31 Indy Rogue Win 13-7 1761.52 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
22 BENT Win 13-9 1998.27 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
17 Grit Loss 8-10 1459.36 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Pop Loss 7-11 1212.43 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
62 Inferno** Win 15-0 1173.17 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
54 Maeve** Win 15-5 1317.19 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
3 Molly Brown Loss 15-17 2070.44 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Win 15-12 1747.6 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
47 Trainwreck** Win 15-0 1438.18 Ignored Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 15-7 1681.53 Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)