#73 Ignite (17-15)

avg: 616.72  •  sd: 50.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Brooklyn Book Club Loss 7-15 482.18 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
- BUDA U20G Win 14-11 840.83 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
70 Boston Loss 7-8 522.91 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
95 Roc Paper Scissors** Win 13-2 552.98 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
58 Agency Loss 6-15 261.73 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
66 Hot Metal Win 10-7 1109.3 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
71 PLOW Win 12-10 884.58 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
40 Pine Baroness Loss 5-15 609.04 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
41 Vice Loss 6-12 596.57 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
92 HOPE Win 10-9 296.34 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
71 PLOW Loss 7-13 88.93 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
79 Versa Win 12-7 911.54 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
42 Frolic Loss 4-13 564.85 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
98 DINO** Win 13-3 425.45 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
43 Rebel Rebel Loss 7-12 630.36 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
95 Roc Paper Scissors** Win 13-2 552.98 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
99 Pickup Lines** Win 13-1 357.46 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
93 Suffrage Win 13-2 749.01 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
43 Rebel Rebel Loss 9-15 635.39 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
41 Vice Loss 7-11 708.99 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
65 Eliza Furnace Win 12-8 1166.93 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
92 HOPE Win 13-2 771.34 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
81 Rush Hour Win 13-2 922.21 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
92 HOPE Win 13-2 771.34 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
71 PLOW Loss 6-10 150.3 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
81 Rush Hour Loss 10-11 197.21 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
19 BENT** Loss 2-13 1093.55 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
48 Brooklyn Book Club Loss 9-13 663.61 Sep 7th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
98 DINO** Win 13-5 425.45 Ignored Sep 7th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
81 Rush Hour Win 9-5 851.27 Sep 7th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
98 DINO** Win 15-3 425.45 Ignored Sep 8th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
81 Rush Hour Loss 8-10 59.54 Sep 8th Metro New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)