#50 Cold Cuts (16-13)

avg: 818.27  •  sd: 51.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
47 Trainwreck Loss 4-12 238.18 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
26 Elevate Loss 3-15 801.11 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch** Loss 1-15 847.1 Ignored Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
24 Wicked** Loss 4-15 892.17 Ignored Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Loss 9-15 278.09 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Colorado Cutthroat Loss 14-15 345.07 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
37 Fiasco Loss 6-12 517.27 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
75 Autonomous** Win 13-1 735.98 Ignored Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
70 Lady Forward Win 13-6 977.96 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
34 Dish Loss 8-13 664.64 Aug 4th Heavyweights 2018
- Frenzy** Win 13-2 600 Ignored Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
57 Helix Win 11-9 921.62 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
66 Iowa Wild Rose Win 11-8 842.87 Aug 5th Heavyweights 2018
55 Sureshot Win 13-12 819.64 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
34 Dish Loss 11-13 931.96 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
66 Iowa Wild Rose Win 13-8 973.42 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
70 Lady Forward Win 13-7 935.49 Aug 18th Cooler Classic 30
55 Sureshot Win 14-11 1007.98 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
74 MystiKuE Win 15-8 795.91 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
44 Crackle Loss 11-15 585.58 Aug 19th Cooler Classic 30
74 MystiKuE Win 12-7 751.61 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
70 Lady Forward Win 10-5 951.85 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
44 Crackle Win 12-11 1091.74 Sep 8th Northwest Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
16 Heist** Loss 0-15 1122.08 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
66 Iowa Wild Rose Win 14-8 1013.3 Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
44 Crackle Loss 11-13 737.9 Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
24 Wicked** Loss 5-15 892.17 Ignored Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
74 MystiKuE Win 14-8 767.14 Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
66 Iowa Wild Rose Win 13-3 1077.26 Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)