#38 Rebel Rebel (24-8)

avg: 1197.47  •  sd: 91.89  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
37 Stella Loss 6-13 604.36 Jun 1st New York Warmup Womens Sanctioned Games 2019
53 Venus Loss 7-11 458.84 Jun 2nd New York Warmup Womens Sanctioned Games 2019
79 Versa** Win 13-3 939.97 Ignored Jul 13th Ow My Knee
100 DINO** Win 13-2 414.72 Ignored Jul 13th Ow My Knee
44 Frolic Win 11-8 1449.34 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
86 Rush Hour** Win 13-1 883.22 Ignored Jul 13th Ow My Knee
45 Vice Loss 8-9 948.1 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
94 HOPE Win 9-4 732.32 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
71 PLOW Win 12-4 1219.57 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
100 DINO** Win 13-1 414.72 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
98 Pickup Lines** Win 13-3 460.53 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
73 Ignite Win 12-7 1093.84 Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
95 Suffrage** Win 13-3 687.59 Ignored Aug 3rd Philly Open 2019
96 Roc Paper Scissors** Win 13-2 538.42 Ignored Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
73 Ignite Win 15-9 1088.81 Aug 4th Philly Open 2019
79 Versa** Win 13-3 939.97 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
100 DINO** Win 13-2 414.72 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
48 Brooklyn Book Club Win 12-7 1554.35 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
71 PLOW Win 11-7 1086.46 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
45 Vice Win 11-7 1540 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
71 PLOW Win 13-6 1219.57 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
51 TOX6ix Loss 9-11 722.92 Sep 7th Upstate New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
51 TOX6ix Win 11-9 1221.34 Sep 7th Upstate New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
96 Roc Paper Scissors** Win 15-1 538.42 Ignored Sep 7th Upstate New York Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
45 Vice Win 13-8 1569.26 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
100 DINO** Win 13-1 414.72 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
5 6ixers** Loss 5-13 1654.95 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
25 Salty Win 13-12 1584.4 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
21 BENT Loss 11-13 1357.13 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
37 Stella Win 14-11 1517.7 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
18 Iris Loss 7-15 1076.17 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
25 Salty Loss 6-13 859.4 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)