#26 Elevate (19-14)

avg: 1401.11  •  sd: 63.69  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
47 Trainwreck Win 15-2 1438.18 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
50 Cold Cuts Win 15-3 1418.27 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Win 15-11 1828.27 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
24 Wicked Loss 7-15 892.17 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Colorado Cutthroat** Win 15-4 1070.07 Ignored Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 15-10 1535.14 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
2 Fury** Loss 2-13 1760.71 Ignored Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
9 Schwa Loss 7-10 1448.3 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
4 Seattle Riot** Loss 2-13 1663.78 Ignored Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
- Fusion Loss 7-8 1428.52 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
30 Sneaky House Hippos Loss 8-13 834.55 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
36 Seattle Soul Win 9-8 1227.2 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
33 Rampage Loss 6-7 1038.46 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
24 Wicked Loss 9-11 1242.96 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 13-9 1520.77 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Crackle Win 13-6 1566.74 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
43 Green Means Go Win 11-3 1596.6 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
32 FAB Win 13-10 1518.84 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 12-13 1322.1 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Loss 8-10 1068.05 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 13-4 1438.18 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
69 Viva Win 13-8 882.06 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
68 Seven Devils** Win 13-4 1016.4 Ignored Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
72 Seattle END** Win 13-3 908.59 Ignored Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 12-9 1426.9 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
33 Rampage Win 11-6 1710.15 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
12 Traffic Loss 12-13 1644.07 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
20 Underground Win 12-11 1768.54 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
9 Schwa Loss 6-13 1237.97 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 12-7 1353.49 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
12 Traffic Loss 7-13 1211.54 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
9 Schwa Loss 5-13 1237.97 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 12-6 1910.02 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)