#66 Jackwagon (10-16)

avg: 679.19  •  sd: 80.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
61 Trainwreck Win 9-8 934.84 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
54 Dish Loss 7-9 622 Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
4 Molly Brown** Loss 4-14 1680.55 Ignored Jun 22nd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
27 Wicked** Loss 2-8 801.32 Ignored Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
54 Dish Loss 8-9 776.33 Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
4 Molly Brown** Loss 3-13 1680.55 Ignored Jun 23rd Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2019
84 Cold Cuts Win 15-6 900.76 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
55 Crackle Loss 8-10 605.37 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
42 Rampage Loss 8-13 629.46 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
58 Venom Loss 8-9 699.13 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
84 Cold Cuts Win 5-3 719.32 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
97 Maeve** Win 13-1 505.4 Ignored Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
93 Ultraviolet Win 13-4 758.84 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
58 Venom Loss 7-12 303.61 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 Fiasco Loss 9-11 775.9 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
42 Rampage Loss 8-13 629.46 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
76 Viva Win 13-5 1139.64 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
85 Seven Devils Win 13-4 892.68 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
61 Trainwreck Loss 4-11 209.84 Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch** Loss 4-13 795.57 Ignored Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- COSMOS** Win 14-1 600 Ignored Sep 7th Rocky Mountain Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Loss 6-13 795.57 Sep 21st South Central Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
4 Molly Brown** Loss 1-13 1680.55 Ignored Sep 21st South Central Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
97 Maeve Win 11-7 372.29 Sep 21st South Central Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
50 Crush City Loss 6-11 452.61 Sep 22nd South Central Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
83 Inferno Win 13-5 908.17 Sep 22nd South Central Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)