#32 FAB (14-18)

avg: 1190.7  •  sd: 72.86  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
77 Sizzle** Win 13-4 584.12 Ignored Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
- Korra Win 13-9 1207.4 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
- 101 Summertime** Win 13-3 1058.18 Ignored Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
48 Portland Ivy Win 9-4 1432.97 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
23 LOL Loss 9-12 1164.85 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
33 Rampage Loss 5-9 634.4 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
36 Seattle Soul Win 11-6 1648.9 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-12 926.59 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
31 Indy Rogue Loss 7-8 1078.99 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 12-7 1602.04 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
26 Elevate Loss 10-13 1072.96 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Crackle Win 11-6 1513.44 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Loss 8-9 977.2 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
1 Brute Squad** Loss 2-15 1862.67 Ignored Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
16 Heist Loss 4-15 1122.08 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
17 Grit Loss 3-15 1122.02 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
6 6ixers Loss 7-15 1416.35 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
21 Siege Loss 8-15 1034.83 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
35 Hot Metal Loss 14-15 1012.96 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
23 LOL Loss 5-13 910.22 Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
2 Fury** Loss 2-13 1760.71 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Win 13-3 1393.57 Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
- Tempo** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Win 11-8 1159.18 Sep 9th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
23 LOL Loss 10-14 1111.51 Sep 9th Nor Cal Womens Sectional Championship 2018
46 Venom Win 11-8 1239.28 Sep 22nd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
69 Viva** Win 11-2 985.9 Ignored Sep 22nd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
15 Wildfire Loss 7-11 1256.46 Sep 22nd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
2 Fury** Loss 3-11 1760.71 Ignored Sep 22nd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
46 Venom Win 15-8 1438.48 Sep 23rd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Win 15-8 1358.38 Sep 23rd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
23 LOL Loss 8-15 945.41 Sep 23rd Southwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)