#3 Molly Brown (24-5)

avg: 2273.57  •  sd: 44.09  •  top 16/20: 100%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
20 Underground** Win 12-5 2243.54 Ignored Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
23 LOL** Win 13-2 2110.22 Ignored Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 Nemesis Win 13-3 2424.48 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
11 Rival Win 12-10 2042.31 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
5 Scandal Win 13-9 2521.66 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
4 Seattle Riot Loss 11-12 2138.78 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
2 Fury Loss 11-15 1979.54 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
14 Showdown Win 15-9 2246.61 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
21 Siege Win 15-10 2053.24 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
8 Nightlock Win 15-4 2520.39 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
5 Scandal Win 15-10 2556.7 Aug 5th 2018 US Open Club Championships
1 Brute Squad Loss 13-15 2248.49 Aug 5th 2018 US Open Club Championships
12 Traffic Win 15-11 2150.23 Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
20 Underground** Win 15-6 2243.54 Ignored Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
8 Nightlock Win 15-8 2485.2 Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
2 Fury Win 15-13 2574.89 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
9 Schwa Win 14-10 2236.67 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
4 Seattle Riot Loss 13-15 2049.6 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
47 Trainwreck** Win 15-1 1438.18 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
14 Showdown Win 17-15 1934.26 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
62 Inferno** Win 15-0 1173.17 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
38 Jackwagon** Win 15-3 1681.53 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch** Win 15-3 2047.1 Ignored Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
54 Maeve** Win 15-1 1317.19 Ignored Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
15 Wildfire Win 15-4 2323.35 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
5 Scandal Win 15-13 2317.28 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
10 Nemesis Win 15-8 2389.29 Oct 18th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
7 Ozone Win 15-9 2452.02 Oct 19th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
1 Brute Squad Loss 11-15 2081.51 Oct 20th USA Ultimate National Championships 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)