#31 Indy Rogue (17-11)

avg: 1203.99  •  sd: 59.43  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
57 Helix Win 13-2 1272.41 Jun 16th SCINNY 2018
58 Stellar Win 13-1 1263.29 Jun 16th SCINNY 2018
55 Sureshot Win 13-3 1294.64 Jun 16th SCINNY 2018
75 Autonomous** Win 13-1 735.98 Ignored Jun 16th SCINNY 2018
49 Sparks Win 13-6 1424.59 Jun 24th SCINNY 2018
34 Dish Win 13-5 1760.8 Jun 24th SCINNY 2018
46 Venom Win 11-7 1340.57 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
32 FAB Win 8-7 1315.7 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 9-13 1028.54 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
24 Wicked Loss 8-13 996.01 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Loss 9-10 977.2 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Crackle Win 13-6 1566.74 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
16 Heist Loss 7-13 1164.55 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
14 Showdown Loss 7-13 1173.6 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
22 BENT Loss 9-12 1234.34 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 13-10 1161.12 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
9 Schwa** Loss 4-13 1237.97 Ignored Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
49 Sparks Win 11-2 1424.59 Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2018
75 Autonomous** Win 11-1 735.98 Ignored Aug 25th Indy Invite Club 2018
- Frenzy** Win 13-0 600 Ignored Sep 8th Central Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
57 Helix Win 13-2 1272.41 Sep 8th Central Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
34 Dish Loss 10-11 1035.8 Sep 8th Central Plains Womens Sectional Championship 2018
11 Rival Loss 8-15 1239.38 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
55 Sureshot Win 13-8 1190.8 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
61 Notorious C.L.E. Win 13-6 1196.45 Sep 22nd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
10 Nemesis** Loss 4-13 1224.48 Ignored Sep 22nd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
34 Dish Loss 10-12 922.68 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
61 Notorious C.L.E. Win 15-11 977.61 Sep 23rd Great Lakes Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)