#30 Sneaky House Hippos (15-15)

avg: 1330.71  •  sd: 87.15  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
20 Underground Loss 5-12 1043.54 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
33 Rampage Win 12-7 1683.97 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
8 Nightlock Loss 2-13 1320.39 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
23 LOL Loss 9-10 1385.22 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
20 Underground Loss 7-11 1176.65 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
26 Elevate Win 13-8 1897.27 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
2 Fury** Loss 2-13 1760.71 Ignored Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
23 LOL Loss 4-8 945.41 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
46 Venom Win 11-9 1122.88 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 11-10 1206.53 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
54 Maeve Win 12-9 1062.55 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-13 889.57 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
24 Wicked Loss 8-11 1126.56 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
26 Elevate Win 10-8 1663.77 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 11-5 1702.2 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 13-3 1432.97 Sep 8th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
72 Seattle END** Win 13-2 908.59 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
4 Seattle Riot** Loss 4-13 1663.78 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
71 Koi** Win 13-1 929.83 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
12 Traffic Loss 8-11 1403.46 Sep 9th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
12 Traffic Loss 8-13 1272.91 Sep 9th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 13-2 1702.2 Sep 9th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
71 Koi** Win 13-2 929.83 Ignored Sep 9th Washington Womens Sectional Championship 2018
12 Traffic Loss 8-13 1272.91 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
20 Underground Loss 4-13 1043.54 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
4 Seattle Riot** Loss 3-13 1663.78 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 13-4 1702.2 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
26 Elevate Loss 6-12 821.8 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 13-9 1251.54 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 13-5 1702.2 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)