#18 Iris (18-9)

avg: 1676.17  •  sd: 69  •  top 16/20: 50.9%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
2 Brute Squad** Loss 3-15 1830.69 Ignored Jun 1st New York Warmup Womens Sanctioned Games 2019
37 Stella Win 13-8 1700.52 Jun 1st New York Warmup Womens Sanctioned Games 2019
63 Hot Metal** Win 14-5 1313.19 Ignored Jun 2nd New York Warmup Womens Sanctioned Games 2019
45 Vice** Win 15-4 1673.1 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
63 Hot Metal** Win 13-2 1313.19 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
21 BENT Win 14-13 1710.97 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
43 Tempest Win 13-4 1684.17 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
53 Venus** Win 15-4 1525.73 Ignored Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
44 Frolic Win 15-6 1683.74 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
12 Siege Loss 12-14 1629.15 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
- V-SQUAD** Win 15-1 1638.13 Ignored Sep 7th West New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
71 PLOW** Win 15-4 1219.57 Ignored Sep 7th West New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
21 BENT Loss 11-12 1460.97 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
71 PLOW** Win 13-3 1219.57 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
73 Ignite** Win 13-4 1173.33 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
37 Stella Win 15-11 1585.52 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
21 BENT Win 14-9 2059.84 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
38 Rebel Rebel Win 15-7 1797.47 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
25 Salty Win 15-10 1913.01 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
12 Siege Loss 11-15 1468.94 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
6 Scandal Loss 7-15 1576.6 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
3 Seattle Riot Loss 7-15 1745.71 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
10 Nightlock Loss 10-15 1504.04 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
15 Ozone Win 14-13 1851.66 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
14 Nemesis Loss 7-15 1174.52 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
15 Ozone Win 13-10 2054.8 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
11 Wildfire Loss 12-14 1646.05 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)