#43 Green Means Go (15-21)

avg: 996.6  •  sd: 68.73  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
6 6ixers** Loss 2-15 1416.35 Ignored Jun 2nd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
1 Brute Squad** Loss 4-15 1862.67 Ignored Jun 2nd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
13 Stella** Loss 4-15 1142.5 Ignored Jun 3rd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
56 Brooklyn Book Club Win 11-8 1059.22 Jun 3rd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
21 Siege** Loss 5-15 999.64 Ignored Jun 3rd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
- Salty Win 11-9 1355.73 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
22 BENT Loss 6-15 979.71 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
35 Hot Metal Win 11-7 1604.85 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Vintage Loss 10-14 1026.07 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Venus Loss 11-12 866.44 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
17 Grit Loss 9-15 1206.54 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- Salty Loss 11-12 981.52 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
26 Elevate Loss 3-11 801.11 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Crackle Loss 6-13 366.74 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Loss 7-9 822.87 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
69 Viva Win 11-8 751.51 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
54 Maeve Win 12-8 1158.34 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
60 Eliza Furnace Win 13-4 1206.57 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
53 Backhanded Win 13-5 1330.82 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
42 Pine Baroness Win 10-6 1518.79 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
27 Tabby Rosa Loss 7-13 824.01 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2018
29 Virginia Rebellion Loss 7-13 798.92 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
45 Outbreak Win 10-8 1166.44 Aug 12th Chesapeake Open 2018
60 Eliza Furnace Loss 8-9 481.57 Sep 8th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
42 Pine Baroness Win 11-7 1489.52 Sep 8th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
35 Hot Metal Loss 8-9 1012.96 Sep 8th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
- Philadelphia Forge** Win 12-2 600 Ignored Sep 8th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
67 Broad City Win 11-5 1036.92 Sep 9th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
42 Pine Baroness Loss 6-9 604.06 Sep 9th Founders Womens Sectional Championship 2018
29 Virginia Rebellion Loss 6-13 756.45 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
60 Eliza Furnace Win 13-4 1206.57 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
53 Backhanded Win 12-7 1251.33 Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
5 Scandal** Loss 4-13 1503.1 Ignored Sep 22nd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
35 Hot Metal Loss 8-10 875.29 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
64 Suffrage Win 14-4 1107.05 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
42 Pine Baroness Loss 9-13 604.06 Sep 23rd Mid Atlantic Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)