#20 Underground (13-17)

avg: 1643.54  •  sd: 41.78  •  top 16/20: 21.6%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 12-5 1930.71 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
23 LOL Win 8-7 1635.22 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
8 Nightlock Loss 8-9 1795.39 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
33 Rampage Win 13-4 1763.46 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 40
9 Schwa Loss 8-9 1712.97 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 11-7 1797.61 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
- Fusion Win 10-8 1816.18 Jun 24th Eugene Summer Solstice 40
23 LOL Win 10-7 1899.88 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 Nemesis Loss 12-14 1603.52 Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
3 Molly Brown** Loss 5-12 1673.57 Ignored Jul 7th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
16 Heist Loss 9-13 1303.51 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
15 Wildfire Loss 9-10 1598.35 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
22 BENT Loss 10-11 1454.71 Jul 8th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2018
10 Nemesis Loss 10-13 1496.34 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
9 Schwa Win 11-10 1962.97 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
17 Grit Loss 8-12 1280.87 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
22 BENT Win 11-10 1704.71 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
15 Wildfire Loss 9-10 1598.35 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
3 Molly Brown** Loss 6-15 1673.57 Ignored Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
9 Schwa Loss 13-15 1623.79 Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
23 LOL Win 15-9 2025.7 Aug 25th Bay Area Invite 2018
12 Traffic Win 15-11 2150.23 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
8 Nightlock Loss 11-15 1539.23 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
2 Fury Loss 9-15 1845.23 Aug 26th Bay Area Invite 2018
36 Seattle Soul Win 13-4 1702.2 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 13-4 1930.71 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
4 Seattle Riot** Loss 3-13 1663.78 Ignored Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
26 Elevate Loss 11-12 1276.11 Sep 22nd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
36 Seattle Soul Loss 10-11 977.2 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 10-5 1406.87 Sep 23rd Northwest Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)