#38 Jackwagon (15-11)

avg: 1081.53  •  sd: 46.51  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
24 Wicked Loss 5-11 892.17 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Win 15-14 918.57 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Colorado Cutthroat** Win 15-5 1070.07 Ignored Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 11-8 1203.79 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
26 Elevate Loss 10-15 947.5 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-15 847.1 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
46 Venom Win 11-4 1473.67 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
32 FAB Loss 7-12 670.19 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Loss 10-11 1205.71 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
54 Maeve Win 13-3 1317.19 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
57 Helix Win 11-7 1139.3 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
56 Brooklyn Book Club Win 10-5 1267.5 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
33 Rampage Loss 7-12 642.95 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
72 Seattle END** Win 13-4 908.59 Ignored Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad Win 9-6 1212.14 Aug 18th Ski Town Classic 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 12-9 1183.55 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
69 Viva Win 13-7 943.43 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
26 Elevate Loss 9-12 1055.74 Aug 19th Ski Town Classic 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 12-9 1183.55 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Womens Sectional Championship 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 11-14 1133.77 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Womens Sectional Championship 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 14-11 1151.52 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Loss 5-15 847.1 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
3 Molly Brown** Loss 3-15 1673.57 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
54 Maeve Win 14-9 1191.05 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
14 Showdown Loss 7-15 1131.13 Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
62 Inferno Win 15-5 1173.17 Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)