#58 Venom (15-12)

avg: 824.13  •  sd: 79.32  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
85 Seven Devils Win 8-6 593.17 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
77 Throwback Win 9-7 644.55 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
75 Koi Win 8-6 854.16 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
35 PDXtra Loss 4-13 654.87 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
89 Tempo Win 9-5 763.13 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
59 Portland Ivy Loss 5-10 249.76 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
32 FAB Loss 8-15 727.09 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
39 Pine Baroness Win 14-10 1579.92 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
49 Fiasco Loss 4-9 425.1 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
97 Maeve** Win 14-4 505.4 Ignored Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
84 Cold Cuts Win 13-4 900.76 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
66 Jackwagon Win 9-8 804.19 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
93 Ultraviolet** Win 13-2 758.84 Ignored Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
66 Jackwagon Win 12-7 1199.7 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
42 Rampage Loss 7-12 605.11 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 Fiasco Loss 3-9 425.1 Aug 24th Ski Town Classic 2019
50 Crush City Loss 9-12 653.94 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
49 Fiasco Loss 6-8 724.61 Aug 25th Ski Town Classic 2019
11 Wildfire** Loss 4-15 1267 Ignored Sep 7th So Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Rampage Win 12-9 1470.98 Sep 7th So Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
76 Viva Win 11-5 1139.64 Sep 7th So Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
93 Ultraviolet Win 13-7 716.38 Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
76 Viva Win 12-8 980.79 Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
1 Fury** Loss 4-13 1841.46 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
11 Wildfire** Loss 1-13 1267 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
42 Rampage Loss 6-13 525.62 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
76 Viva Win 13-10 867.78 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)