#41 Vice (23-10)

avg: 1175.88  •  sd: 44.73  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
54 Venus Win 7-5 1284.87 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
16 Iris Loss 4-15 1151.91 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
44 Tempest Win 11-7 1611.17 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
66 Hot Metal Win 13-5 1319.64 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
19 BENT Loss 6-15 1093.55 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
37 Vintage Loss 10-13 888.11 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
44 Tempest Loss 8-10 881.61 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
73 Ignite Win 12-6 1196.03 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
92 HOPE** Win 13-0 771.34 Ignored Jul 13th Ow My Knee
71 PLOW Win 13-3 1246.46 Jul 13th Ow My Knee
81 Rush Hour** Win 13-0 922.21 Ignored Jul 14th Ow My Knee
42 Frolic Win 10-4 1764.85 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
43 Rebel Rebel Win 9-8 1275.87 Jul 14th Ow My Knee
66 Hot Metal Win 13-6 1319.64 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
69 Broad City Win 10-6 1156.84 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
40 Pine Baroness Win 12-11 1334.04 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
64 Notorious C.L.E. Win 14-12 956.5 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
48 Brooklyn Book Club Win 10-9 1207.18 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
26 Virginia Rebellion Loss 4-13 847.7 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
92 HOPE** Win 12-4 771.34 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
73 Ignite Win 11-7 1083.62 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
81 Rush Hour** Win 13-4 922.21 Ignored Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
65 Eliza Furnace Win 13-6 1325.78 Aug 24th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
48 Brooklyn Book Club Win 10-8 1344.85 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
43 Rebel Rebel Loss 7-11 683.98 Aug 25th The Incident 2019 Age of Ultimatron
79 Versa** Win 13-5 991.03 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
92 HOPE** Win 13-1 771.34 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Frolic Loss 6-8 864.36 Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Siege Loss 7-13 1356.16 Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
79 Versa** Win 13-1 991.03 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
24 Salty Loss 5-9 934.64 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Frolic Win 10-9 1289.85 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
11 Siege Loss 6-12 1334.38 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)