#24 Elevate (11-16)

avg: 1464.37  •  sd: 74.09  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
9 Traffic Loss 9-12 1618.3 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
10 Nightlock Loss 4-13 1357.64 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-10 1005.91 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
1 Fury** Loss 1-13 1841.46 Ignored Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
26 Sneaky House Hippos Loss 6-13 821.74 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
35 PDXtra Win 13-11 1483.71 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
32 FAB Loss 8-10 1029.23 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
31 Heist Win 15-14 1432.56 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
12 Siege Loss 7-13 1292.58 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
32 FAB Win 13-8 1788.06 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
23 Tabby Rosa Loss 10-12 1257.5 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-10 1005.91 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
37 Stella Win 11-9 1453.57 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
14 Nemesis Win 12-10 2012.64 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
12 Siege Loss 9-15 1334.63 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
16 Pop Win 12-11 1805.7 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
19 Underground Loss 7-8 1536.27 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
20 Grit Win 8-7 1733.05 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
14 Nemesis Loss 4-13 1174.52 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
85 Seven Devils** Win 15-6 892.68 Ignored Sep 7th Big Sky Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 Underground Win 13-11 1890.11 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
26 Sneaky House Hippos Win 13-8 1917.89 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
36 Seattle Soul Win 11-10 1353.88 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
3 Seattle Riot** Loss 4-13 1745.71 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
9 Traffic Loss 3-13 1363.67 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
19 Underground Loss 8-13 1165.11 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
8 Schwa Loss 7-11 1529.55 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)