#9 Traffic (25-8)

avg: 1963.67  •  sd: 88.18  •  top 16/20: 97.9%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
24 Elevate Win 12-9 1809.73 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
1 Fury Loss 7-10 2051.79 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
10 Nightlock Win 11-10 2082.64 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Win 12-6 1974.88 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
19 Underground Loss 9-10 1536.27 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Win 12-4 1995.57 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
8 Schwa Loss 7-9 1717.1 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
56 Outbreak** Win 15-2 1449.83 Ignored Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
55 Crackle** Win 15-4 1468.04 Ignored Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
42 Rampage Win 15-7 1725.62 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
49 Fiasco** Win 13-2 1625.1 Ignored Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
39 Pine Baroness** Win 13-4 1781.22 Ignored Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
36 Seattle Soul** Win 13-1 1828.88 Ignored Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
36 Seattle Soul** Win 13-5 1828.88 Ignored Sep 7th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 Underground Win 13-9 2079.84 Sep 7th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
59 Portland Ivy** Win 13-2 1423.66 Ignored Sep 7th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
75 Koi** Win 13-3 1153.67 Ignored Sep 7th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
26 Sneaky House Hippos Win 13-7 1979.27 Sep 8th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
87 Sizzle** Win 13-1 866.82 Ignored Sep 8th Washington Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
19 Underground Win 13-12 1786.27 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
36 Seattle Soul** Win 13-3 1828.88 Ignored Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
26 Sneaky House Hippos Win 12-6 2001.05 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
8 Schwa Win 13-11 2225.28 Sep 21st Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
3 Seattle Riot Loss 10-11 2220.71 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
24 Elevate Win 13-3 2064.37 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
3 Seattle Riot Loss 6-13 1745.71 Sep 22nd Northwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
14 Nemesis Win 15-9 2290 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
15 Ozone Win 15-11 2107.82 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
1 Fury Loss 8-15 1876.65 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
8 Schwa Loss 9-15 1480.96 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
15 Ozone Win 15-14 1851.66 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
14 Nemesis Win 15-10 2228.12 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
7 Phoenix Loss 15-16 1926.86 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)