#12 Siege (32-8)

avg: 1850.11  •  sd: 78  •  top 16/20: 98.2%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 TOX6ix** Win 13-2 1572.13 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
44 Frolic** Win 15-5 1683.74 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
25 Salty Win 15-6 2059.4 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
40 Vintage** Win 15-3 1777.71 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
21 BENT Win 15-6 2185.97 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
39 Pine Baroness** Win 15-5 1781.22 Ignored Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
18 Iris Win 14-12 1897.12 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
24 Elevate Win 13-7 2021.9 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
32 FAB Win 13-5 1891.9 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
31 Heist Win 13-6 1907.56 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
29 Virginia Rebellion Loss 11-13 1157.24 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
21 BENT Win 13-8 2082.13 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
23 Tabby Rosa Win 13-8 1991.78 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
24 Elevate Win 15-9 1979.85 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
16 Pop Loss 9-14 1206.83 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
14 Nemesis Win 13-10 2102.66 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Wildfire Win 11-10 1992 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
21 BENT Win 11-6 2132.66 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
15 Ozone Win 9-6 2145.22 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
45 Vice Win 13-7 1630.63 Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
44 Frolic** Win 13-4 1683.74 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
94 HOPE** Win 13-1 732.32 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 Salty Win 13-2 2059.4 Sep 7th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
79 Versa** Win 13-1 939.97 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
45 Vice Win 12-6 1652.41 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
25 Salty Win 13-11 1688.24 Sep 8th East New England Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
79 Versa** Win 13-0 939.97 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
5 6ixers Loss 11-15 1873.78 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
48 Brooklyn Book Club** Win 13-5 1633.84 Ignored Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
25 Salty Win 14-13 1584.4 Sep 21st Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
21 BENT Win 15-9 2101.45 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
2 Brute Squad Loss 4-15 1830.69 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
18 Iris Win 15-11 2057.33 Sep 22nd Northeast Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
11 Wildfire Loss 13-15 1652.82 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
7 Phoenix Loss 10-15 1598.25 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
4 Molly Brown Loss 6-14 1680.55 Oct 24th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
11 Wildfire Win 12-11 1992 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
16 Pop Win 15-13 1894.88 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
6 Scandal Loss 10-15 1723 Oct 25th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
14 Nemesis Win 14-11 2087.85 Oct 26th USA Ultimate National Championships 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)