#25 Colorado Small Batch (16-9)

avg: 1447.1  •  sd: 55.31  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
47 Trainwreck Win 15-7 1438.18 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
26 Elevate Loss 11-15 1019.94 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
50 Cold Cuts** Win 15-1 1418.27 Ignored Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
24 Wicked Loss 13-14 1367.17 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad** Win 15-3 1393.57 Ignored Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 15-7 1681.53 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
32 FAB Win 12-7 1711.21 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 13-7 1888.25 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
31 Indy Rogue Win 13-9 1622.56 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
24 Wicked Loss 7-11 1025.27 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
26 Elevate Win 13-12 1526.11 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
44 Crackle Win 13-7 1524.27 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
15 Wildfire Loss 6-13 1123.35 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
18 Phoenix Loss 9-10 1572.67 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
19 Pop Loss 6-13 1079.32 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
48 Portland Ivy Win 13-7 1390.51 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
9 Schwa Loss 11-12 1712.97 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
47 Trainwreck Win 13-6 1438.18 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Womens Sectional Championship 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 14-11 1394.87 Sep 8th Rocky Mountain Womens Sectional Championship 2018
14 Showdown Loss 12-15 1430.64 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 15-5 1681.53 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
62 Inferno** Win 15-3 1173.17 Ignored Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
54 Maeve Win 15-8 1282 Sep 22nd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
47 Trainwreck** Win 15-3 1438.18 Ignored Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
3 Molly Brown** Loss 3-15 1673.57 Ignored Sep 23rd South Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)