#32 FAB (16-14)

avg: 1291.9  •  sd: 80.1  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Underground Loss 6-8 1360.78 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
3 Seattle Riot** Loss 1-13 1745.71 Ignored Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
26 Sneaky House Hippos Loss 5-8 968.13 Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
8 Schwa** Loss 3-11 1396.44 Ignored Jun 22nd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
24 Elevate Win 10-8 1727.03 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
28 Colorado Small Batch Loss 7-10 1005.91 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
47 Korra Win 10-6 1531.19 Jun 23rd Eugene Summer Solstice 2019
58 Venom Win 15-8 1388.93 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
39 Pine Baroness Loss 7-13 623.68 Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
97 Maeve** Win 15-1 505.4 Ignored Jul 13th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
42 Rampage Loss 8-13 629.46 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
56 Outbreak Win 13-5 1449.83 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
55 Crackle Win 13-3 1468.04 Jul 14th TCT Select Flight Invite West 2019
24 Elevate Loss 8-13 968.21 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
12 Siege Loss 5-13 1250.11 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
31 Heist Loss 8-12 866.41 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
41 Indy Rogue Win 13-4 1729.03 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
54 Dish Win 13-4 1501.33 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
63 Hot Metal Win 10-9 838.19 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
93 Ultraviolet** Win 13-0 758.84 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
89 Tempo** Win 13-1 834.07 Ignored Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
- 2nd Wave Win 13-1 1355.72 Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
22 LOL Loss 8-11 1163.55 Sep 8th Nor Cal Womens Club Sectional Championship 2019
42 Rampage Win 13-6 1725.62 Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
10 Nightlock** Loss 1-13 1357.64 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
89 Tempo** Win 13-3 834.07 Ignored Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
22 LOL Loss 7-13 971.63 Sep 21st Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
76 Viva** Win 11-4 1139.64 Ignored Sep 22nd Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
11 Wildfire Loss 11-13 1638.16 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
42 Rampage Win 12-6 1704.93 Sep 22nd Southwest Club Womens Regional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)