#21 Siege (18-13)

avg: 1599.64  •  sd: 59.54  •  top 16/20: 2%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
43 Green Means Go** Win 15-5 1596.6 Ignored Jun 3rd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
- Iris Loss 8-12 1352.67 Jun 3rd New York Warm Up 2018 Sanctioned Womens Event
17 Grit Win 15-9 2237.51 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- PPF Win 15-9 2130.91 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Iris Win 14-13 1918.82 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
53 Backhanded** Win 15-5 1330.82 Ignored Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2018
- Eclipse Win 15-7 1728.4 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
- Vintage Win 15-13 1638.95 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
22 BENT Win 15-9 2095.19 Jun 24th Boston Invite 2018
14 Showdown Loss 10-12 1493.01 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
8 Nightlock Loss 5-15 1320.39 Aug 3rd 2018 US Open Club Championships
2 Fury** Loss 4-15 1760.71 Ignored Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
11 Rival Loss 10-15 1350.58 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
3 Molly Brown Loss 10-15 1819.97 Aug 4th 2018 US Open Club Championships
5 Scandal Loss 11-15 1721.93 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
35 Hot Metal Win 15-10 1591.56 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
22 BENT Loss 14-15 1454.71 Sep 1st TCT Pro Championships 2018
32 FAB Win 15-8 1755.51 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
17 Grit Loss 8-15 1157.21 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
7 Ozone Loss 5-15 1336.53 Sep 2nd TCT Pro Championships 2018
51 Vice** Win 15-3 1395.41 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Sectional Championship 2018
41 Frolic Win 15-8 1604.35 Sep 8th East New England Womens Sectional Championship 2018
78 HOPE** Win 15-1 259.81 Ignored Sep 8th East New England Womens Sectional Championship 2018
39 Savage Win 15-4 1650.05 Sep 8th East New England Womens Sectional Championship 2018
28 V-SQUAD Win 13-10 1695.82 Sep 22nd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
51 Vice** Win 13-3 1395.41 Ignored Sep 22nd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
41 Frolic Win 13-4 1639.54 Sep 22nd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
1 Brute Squad Loss 6-13 1862.67 Sep 22nd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
28 V-SQUAD Win 15-13 1581.85 Sep 23rd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
6 6ixers Loss 8-15 1451.54 Sep 23rd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
22 BENT Loss 10-15 1126.1 Sep 23rd Northeast Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)