#24 Wicked (20-6)

avg: 1492.17  •  sd: 79.68  •  top 16/20: 19.4%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
52 Deadly Viper Assassination Squad** Win 15-6 1393.57 Ignored Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
- Colorado Cutthroat** Win 15-3 1070.07 Ignored Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
38 Jackwagon Win 11-5 1681.53 Jun 16th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
50 Cold Cuts** Win 15-4 1418.27 Ignored Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Win 14-13 1572.1 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
26 Elevate Win 15-7 2001.11 Jun 17th Fort Collins Summer Solstice 2018
69 Viva** Win 13-1 985.9 Ignored Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
57 Helix** Win 13-4 1272.41 Ignored Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
56 Brooklyn Book Club** Win 13-3 1293.61 Ignored Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
26 Elevate Win 11-9 1650.31 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
31 Indy Rogue Win 13-8 1700.15 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
30 Sneaky House Hippos Win 11-8 1696.32 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
25 Colorado Small Batch Win 11-7 1914 Jul 29th TCT Select Flight Invite 2018
6 6ixers Loss 9-12 1670.99 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
11 Rival Loss 11-13 1575.34 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
48 Portland Ivy** Win 13-5 1432.97 Ignored Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
15 Wildfire Loss 9-13 1304.78 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
22 BENT Win 9-8 1704.71 Aug 19th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2018
70 Lady Forward Win 11-5 977.96 Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
58 Stellar** Win 11-1 1263.29 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
74 MystiKuE** Win 11-2 831.1 Ignored Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
19 Pop Loss 7-10 1289.65 Sep 22nd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
16 Heist Loss 6-15 1122.08 Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
50 Cold Cuts** Win 15-5 1418.27 Ignored Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
44 Crackle Win 15-3 1566.74 Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
19 Pop Loss 8-12 1238.17 Sep 23rd North Central Womens Regional Championship 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)