#159 Mississippi State (14-14)

avg: 1125.81  •  sd: 58.77  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
160 Vanderbilt Loss 7-11 657.49 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown
103 Georgia State Loss 9-13 929.81 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown
296 LSU-B Loss 8-11 330.2 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown
322 Mississippi Win 13-5 1187.21 Jan 27th T Town Throwdown
132 Kentucky Loss 11-14 937.82 Jan 27th T Town Throwdown
361 Miami Win 11-7 889.41 Feb 2nd Royal Crown Classic 2019
429 Columbus State** Win 13-0 571.58 Ignored Feb 2nd Royal Crown Classic 2019
165 Georgia Southern Win 10-7 1481.57 Feb 2nd Royal Crown Classic 2019
285 Troy Win 13-12 854.84 Feb 3rd Royal Crown Classic 2019
165 Georgia Southern Win 12-8 1533.06 Feb 3rd Royal Crown Classic 2019
209 Trinity Loss 9-11 708.69 Mar 2nd Mardi Gras XXXII
296 LSU-B Win 11-8 1061.42 Mar 2nd Mardi Gras XXXII
298 Texas A&M-B Win 11-4 1283.95 Mar 2nd Mardi Gras XXXII
212 Texas Christian Win 11-5 1550.62 Mar 2nd Mardi Gras XXXII
112 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 13-4 1906.21 Mar 2nd Mardi Gras XXXII
23 Texas Tech Loss 7-13 1273.6 Mar 3rd Mardi Gras XXXII
27 LSU** Loss 2-13 1177.74 Ignored Mar 3rd Mardi Gras XXXII
61 Tennessee Loss 9-12 1208.83 Mar 16th Tally Classic XIV
68 Cincinnati Loss 3-13 915.37 Mar 16th Tally Classic XIV
36 Alabama Loss 5-13 1123.14 Mar 16th Tally Classic XIV
143 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 12-13 1074.07 Mar 16th Tally Classic XIV
103 Georgia State Loss 14-15 1223.38 Mar 17th Tally Classic XIV
119 Clemson Loss 11-15 902.39 Mar 17th Tally Classic XIV
251 Samford Win 13-8 1347.48 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2019
221 North Georgia Win 13-11 1150.61 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2019
285 Troy Win 12-8 1170.99 Mar 23rd Magic City Invite 2019
117 Jacksonville State Loss 10-13 964.35 Mar 24th Magic City Invite 2019
185 Alabama-Birmingham Win 10-8 1294.63 Mar 24th Magic City Invite 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)