#46 South Carolina (9-6)

avg: 1579.36  •  sd: 77.02  •  top 16/20: 0.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
33 Maryland Win 10-9 1809.28 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
51 Ohio State Win 11-10 1662.69 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
62 Vermont Win 11-10 1590.83 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
84 Virginia Loss 5-9 873.08 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
75 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 13-9 1834.23 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
12 North Carolina State Loss 12-13 1793.86 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
66 Kennesaw State Win 15-7 2058.01 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
23 Georgia Tech Loss 5-13 1143.96 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
231 Alabama-Birmingham Win 13-7 1378.61 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
50 Notre Dame Win 13-11 1768.12 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
9 Georgia Loss 7-15 1349.28 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
81 Florida State Win 13-10 1736.86 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
23 Georgia Tech Loss 10-12 1505.84 Mar 10th Tally Classic XIII
88 Alabama-Huntsville Win 15-11 1769.47 Mar 11th Tally Classic XIII
28 Carnegie Mellon Loss 8-11 1353.04 Mar 11th Tally Classic XIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)