#130 Baylor (10-3)

avg: 1270.94  •  sd: 54.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
350 Sam Houston State** Win 12-4 1082.48 Ignored Feb 2nd Big D in Little d Open 2019
324 Stephen F. Austin** Win 13-4 1185 Ignored Feb 2nd Big D in Little d Open 2019
363 Texas State -B Win 13-8 911.5 Feb 2nd Big D in Little d Open 2019
175 North Texas Win 8-7 1192.1 Feb 2nd Big D in Little d Open 2019
179 Nebraska Win 13-10 1386.99 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2019
80 Oklahoma Loss 10-15 998.36 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2019
67 Oklahoma State Loss 10-15 1080.36 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2019
235 Northern Iowa Win 13-9 1324.25 Mar 16th Centex 2019 Men
296 LSU-B Win 11-6 1242.5 Mar 16th Centex 2019 Men
209 Trinity Win 13-6 1557.89 Mar 16th Centex 2019 Men
205 Wisconsin-B Win 15-7 1570.59 Mar 17th Centex 2019 Men
124 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 13-14 1153.72 Mar 17th Centex 2019 Men
235 Northern Iowa Win 13-9 1324.25 Mar 17th Centex 2019 Men
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)