#351 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville (5-7)

avg: 476.79  •  sd: 67.99  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
314 Wisconsin-C Loss 7-10 219.88 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
408 Wisconsin-Milwaukee-B Win 13-2 780.46 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
235 Northern Iowa Loss 3-13 305.68 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
229 Missouri Loss 5-10 339.95 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2019
360 Illinois-Chicago Loss 8-10 168.53 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2019
427 Wisconsin-Stout Win 12-2 603.93 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2019
97 Grand Valley State Loss 7-13 806.27 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2019
203 Wheaton (Illinois) Loss 7-13 414.58 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2019
424 Coe Win 13-6 635.35 Mar 24th Meltdown 2019
329 Northern Illinois Loss 7-11 95.03 Mar 24th Meltdown 2019
332 Milwaukee School of Engineering Win 9-8 684.2 Mar 24th Meltdown 2019
346 Marquette-B Win 7-6 625.18 Mar 24th Meltdown 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)