#274 Union (Tennessee) (4-6)

avg: 771.62  •  sd: 127.8  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
196 Middle Tennessee State Loss 10-12 765.02 Feb 16th Music City Tune Up 2019
233 Belmont Loss 8-13 411.48 Feb 16th Music City Tune Up 2019
160 Vanderbilt Loss 3-13 524.38 Feb 16th Music City Tune Up 2019
- Vanderbilt University -B Win 13-4 860.86 Feb 16th Music City Tune Up 2019
327 Indiana-B Win 10-6 1071.79 Mar 2nd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
233 Belmont Loss 11-12 782.64 Mar 2nd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
275 Illinois-B Win 13-4 1370.93 Mar 2nd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
263 Georgia Tech-B Win 13-4 1413.95 Mar 2nd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
308 Alabama-B Loss 10-13 311.68 Mar 3rd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
275 Illinois-B Loss 0-15 170.93 Mar 3rd First Annual Jaxx Jamboree
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)