#349 William & Mary-B (5-8)

avg: 485.45  •  sd: 89.46  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
266 Penn State-B Loss 4-13 198.33 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
182 Messiah Loss 1-13 442.84 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
373 Edinboro Win 9-4 960.23 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
437 Towson -B** Win 12-2 372.21 Ignored Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
334 James Madison-B Win 15-8 1112.06 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
373 Edinboro Loss 13-15 146.05 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
297 Connecticut-B Loss 6-15 94.68 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
174 Cedarville Loss 0-13 467.46 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
279 Maryland-B Loss 5-7 429.94 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
318 Virginia Tech-B Loss 11-13 367.66 Mar 30th I 85 Rodeo 2019
389 Cornell-B Win 11-6 821.6 Mar 31st I 85 Rodeo 2019
365 Virginia-B Win 11-8 776.55 Mar 31st I 85 Rodeo 2019
338 Wake Forest Loss 8-12 92.44 Mar 31st I 85 Rodeo 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)