#80 Connecticut College (12-2)

avg: 1472.27  •  sd: 83.42  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
195 Amherst Win 10-5 1531.8 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2023
315 Harvard-B** Win 10-1 943.5 Ignored Feb 11th UMass Invite 2023
100 Vermont-B Win 10-6 1889.65 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2023
160 Wesleyan Win 10-8 1374.76 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2023
158 Tufts-B Win 13-8 1614.97 Feb 12th UMass Invite 2023
160 Wesleyan Win 15-8 1676.9 Feb 12th UMass Invite 2023
100 Vermont-B Loss 11-13 1164.65 Feb 12th UMass Invite 2023
245 SUNY-Albany Win 13-7 1307.45 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
177 Rochester Win 13-9 1458.75 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
205 SUNY-Cortland Win 13-12 1053.38 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
170 Ithaca Loss 9-10 953.23 Feb 25th Bring The Huckus1
95 Massachusetts-B Win 15-9 1937.7 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
100 Vermont-B Win 10-8 1656.16 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
177 Rochester Win 15-8 1604.99 Feb 26th Bring The Huckus1
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)