#53 UCLA (16-12)

avg: 1534.42  •  sd: 58.87  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
38 Southern California Loss 8-13 1137.73 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
15 Stanford Loss 11-13 1656.79 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
25 Victoria Loss 9-12 1386.37 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
74 Washington University Win 13-7 1976.02 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
111 Arizona State Win 12-11 1414.21 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
65 California-Santa Barbara Loss 10-13 1134.23 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
263 Sacramento State** Win 11-4 1341.99 Ignored Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
397 California-Santa Barbara-B** Win 9-3 707.16 Ignored Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
69 Carleton College-GoP Loss 10-11 1324.46 Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
100 Arizona Loss 10-13 1007.33 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
90 Northern Arizona Win 12-6 1956.91 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
195 Sonoma State Win 13-7 1520.84 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
26 Texas-Dallas Loss 8-12 1287.86 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
44 Illinois Loss 11-12 1464.03 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
3 Oregon Loss 10-13 1860.63 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
59 Santa Clara Loss 10-13 1171.63 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
67 Utah Loss 10-12 1219.85 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
148 San Diego State Win 15-4 1747.07 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
211 Utah State** Win 15-5 1507.84 Ignored Feb 18th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
60 Cornell Loss 8-9 1348.23 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
67 Utah Win 10-8 1720.64 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invitational Tournament 2018
272 Miami** Win 13-4 1301.69 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
176 Colorado State-B Win 9-4 1626.62 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
156 Colorado-Denver Win 13-8 1603.07 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
211 Utah State Win 13-8 1404 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
146 Nevada-Reno Win 13-6 1749.3 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
143 California-San Diego Win 11-6 1707.61 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
67 Utah Win 12-6 2037.28 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)