#146 Nevada-Reno (26-16)

avg: 1149.3  •  sd: 39  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
290 Portland State Win 15-3 1218.12 Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
205 Gonzaga Win 15-14 1050.34 Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
165 Humboldt State Win 12-11 1191.68 Jan 20th Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
121 Puget Sound Loss 5-7 928.77 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
158 Lewis & Clark Win 7-6 1227.13 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
55 Oregon State Loss 6-10 1022.02 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
271 Central Washington Win 13-6 1306.87 Jan 21st Flat Tail Open Tournament 2018
18 Brigham Young** Loss 4-13 1253.38 Ignored Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
143 California-San Diego Loss 7-13 603.38 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
24 Western Washington Loss 7-13 1184.53 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
79 California-Davis Loss 10-13 1086.49 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
74 Washington University Loss 12-13 1293.49 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
100 Arizona Win 13-8 1831.64 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invitational 2018
59 Santa Clara Loss 6-11 953.08 Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
316 Cal Poly-SLO-B Win 8-6 824.4 Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
87 Las Positas Loss 7-10 1003.54 Feb 10th Stanford Open 2018
141 Boston College Loss 9-11 916.96 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
214 California-Santa Cruz Win 12-8 1346.73 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
208 Occidental Win 10-9 1045.5 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
263 Sacramento State Win 13-3 1341.99 Feb 11th Stanford Open 2018
222 Brigham Young-B Win 12-10 1101.59 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
206 Washington State Win 11-8 1289.18 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
191 Montana State Win 9-8 1095.44 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
353 Montana-B Win 8-5 811.6 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
57 Whitman Loss 3-11 906.56 Mar 3rd Big Sky Brawl 2018
211 Utah State Win 9-8 1032.84 Mar 4th Big Sky Brawl 2018
67 Utah Win 9-8 1582.97 Mar 4th Big Sky Brawl 2018
57 Whitman Loss 8-13 1010.4 Mar 4th Big Sky Brawl 2018
276 San Jose State Win 13-4 1298.83 Mar 10th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
165 Humboldt State Loss 10-13 738.54 Mar 10th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
225 California-B Win 12-11 978.6 Mar 10th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
79 California-Davis Loss 11-13 1185.79 Mar 10th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
131 Chico State Win 11-7 1655.54 Mar 11th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
87 Las Positas Loss 7-13 835.67 Mar 11th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
195 Sonoma State Win 7-4 1459.47 Mar 11th Silicon Valley Rally 2018
208 Occidental Win 10-8 1183.17 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
329 California-Irvine** Win 13-2 1064.87 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
355 Colorado Mesa University** Win 13-3 954.28 Ignored Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
148 San Diego State Win 10-6 1643.23 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
128 Colorado School of Mines Win 8-7 1328.86 Mar 24th Trouble in Vegas 2018
159 Colorado-B Win 9-8 1219.56 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
53 UCLA Loss 6-13 934.42 Mar 25th Trouble in Vegas 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)