#176 Bentley (8-7)

avg: 1065.27  •  sd: 73.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
- Providence College Win 8-6 884.11 Mar 23rd 2019 Bryant Round Robin
288 Massachusetts-Lowell Win 9-7 991.9 Mar 23rd 2019 Bryant Round Robin
60 Bryant University Loss 3-13 954.37 Mar 23rd 2019 Bryant Round Robin
127 Boston College Loss 6-11 728.03 Mar 23rd 2019 Bryant Round Robin
288 Massachusetts-Lowell Win 12-8 1153.72 Mar 24th Mill City Throwdown 2019
217 Amherst College Loss 10-11 801.58 Mar 24th Mill City Throwdown 2019
95 Bates College Loss 6-13 769.77 Mar 24th Mill City Throwdown 2019
317 Worcester Polytech Win 13-5 1196.85 Mar 24th Mill City Throwdown 2019
84 Brandeis Loss 5-13 831.89 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
282 Catholic Win 13-6 1341.95 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
107 Franciscan Loss 8-13 829.36 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
228 Swarthmore Win 13-9 1333.43 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
96 Bowdoin Loss 8-13 871.65 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
178 Army Win 13-5 1659.73 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
163 SUNY-Geneseo Win 13-9 1525.14 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)