#379 Southern Methodist (4-9)

avg: 237.65  •  sd: 102.67  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
68 Baylor Loss 6-10 958.66 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
130 North Texas** Loss 0-13 592.13 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
200 Rice** Loss 4-13 332.65 Ignored Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
351 Texas-Arlington Loss 7-10 -26.19 Feb 3rd Big D in Little d Open 2018
344 Dallas Loss 7-15 -206.61 Feb 4th Big D in Little d Open 2018
305 Oklahoma-B Win 8-6 861.71 Feb 4th Big D in Little d Open 2018
387 North Texas-B Win 13-3 783.67 Feb 4th Big D in Little d Open 2018
387 North Texas-B Loss 9-10 58.67 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
199 Stephen F Austin** Loss 4-13 334.47 Ignored Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
297 Trinity University Loss 5-11 -6.45 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
411 Texas State -B Win 12-10 162.54 Mar 24th Greatest Crusade IV
336 Texas-Dallas-B Loss 8-12 -16.85 Mar 25th Greatest Crusade IV
411 Texas State -B Win 12-9 269.78 Mar 25th Greatest Crusade IV
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)