#163 SUNY-Geneseo (7-8)

avg: 1106.58  •  sd: 86.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
120 James Madison Win 10-7 1672.47 Mar 16th Oak Creek Invite 2019
142 Princeton Win 13-10 1537.85 Mar 16th Oak Creek Invite 2019
18 Michigan** Loss 4-13 1308.77 Ignored Mar 16th Oak Creek Invite 2019
147 Delaware Win 13-10 1516.08 Mar 16th Oak Creek Invite 2019
47 Maryland Loss 7-15 1056.33 Mar 17th Oak Creek Invite 2019
101 Connecticut Loss 12-15 1055.75 Mar 17th Oak Creek Invite 2019
73 Temple Loss 7-15 880.87 Mar 17th Oak Creek Invite 2019
210 Rochester Win 13-8 1449.45 Mar 27th Fracas on the Genesee 2019
405 Jefferson Win 11-5 789.23 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
96 Bowdoin Loss 6-13 767.81 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
331 Kenyon Win 13-3 1159.98 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
243 Haverford Loss 7-9 603.05 Mar 30th Layout Pigout 2019
84 Brandeis Loss 9-13 1013.32 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
176 Bentley Loss 9-13 646.71 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
243 Haverford Win 13-7 1439.92 Mar 31st Layout Pigout 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)