#257 Charleston (6-6)

avg: 830.33  •  sd: 92.32  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
253 Anderson Loss 9-10 718.09 Feb 23rd Chucktown Throwdown XVI
94 Appalachian State Loss 1-13 772.43 Feb 23rd Chucktown Throwdown XVI
373 Edinboro Win 12-8 801.38 Feb 23rd Chucktown Throwdown XVI
373 Edinboro Win 10-9 485.23 Feb 24th Chucktown Throwdown XVI
330 Wingate Win 9-6 979.64 Feb 24th Chucktown Throwdown XVI
25 South Carolina** Loss 4-13 1186.69 Ignored Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
136 South Florida Loss 7-13 679.5 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
146 North Carolina-Asheville Loss 7-13 630.63 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
256 Georgia-B Loss 7-13 273.62 Mar 23rd College Southerns XVIII
246 Florida-B Win 15-8 1440.23 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
321 Carleton Hot Karls Win 15-9 1104.97 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
207 North Florida Win 15-13 1179.69 Mar 24th College Southerns XVIII
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)