#297 Connecticut-B (9-5)

avg: 694.68  •  sd: 98.19  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
334 James Madison-B Loss 9-12 201.88 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
416 Temple-B Win 9-1 724.91 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
417 Georgetown-B Win 9-5 630.66 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
323 Dartmouth-B Win 12-8 1027.65 Mar 16th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
266 Penn State-B Win 14-8 1334.37 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
349 William & Mary-B Win 15-6 1085.45 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
323 Dartmouth-B Win 15-12 886.99 Mar 17th Squirrely Cuts Only 2018 DIIIB team tournament
255 Boston College-B Loss 4-10 232.55 Mar 30th Tea Cup 2019
436 Yale-B** Win 13-2 386.51 Ignored Mar 30th Tea Cup 2019
293 Wentworth Win 11-7 1168.3 Mar 30th Tea Cup 2019
220 Northeastern-B Loss 7-12 401.46 Mar 30th Tea Cup 2019
337 Southern Connecticut State Win 13-12 659.13 Mar 31st Tea Cup 2019
255 Boston College-B Loss 0-7 232.55 Mar 31st Tea Cup 2019
214 Hartford Loss 7-13 381.14 Mar 31st Tea Cup 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)