#168 Whitworth (8-5)

avg: 1087.23  •  sd: 87.64  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
180 Humboldt State Win 9-8 1183.43 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
133 Utah State Loss 8-9 1120.27 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
34 UCLA Loss 7-13 1171.2 Feb 9th Stanford Open 2019
291 Pacific Lutheran Win 12-7 1223.88 Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
192 Gonzaga Win 13-8 1518.7 Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
241 Washington-B Loss 5-13 288.48 Mar 2nd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
99 Lewis & Clark Loss 7-15 758.77 Mar 3rd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
162 Washington State Win 13-9 1528.06 Mar 3rd 19th Annual PLU BBQ Open
312 Portland State Win 15-6 1213.97 Mar 9th Palouse Open 2019
305 Boise State Win 12-7 1162.84 Mar 9th Palouse Open 2019
326 Western Washington University-B Win 13-11 810.57 Mar 9th Palouse Open 2019
59 Oregon State Loss 7-15 962.19 Mar 10th Palouse Open 2019
162 Washington State Win 12-11 1234.49 Mar 10th Palouse Open 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)