#78 Santa Clara (11-5)

avg: 1475.08  •  sd: 68  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
253 Oregon State-B** Win 15-1 1317.62 Ignored Jan 21st Pacific Confrontational Pac Con
137 Portland State Win 15-4 1824.16 Jan 21st Pacific Confrontational Pac Con
125 Washington State Win 15-11 1649.35 Jan 21st Pacific Confrontational Pac Con
74 Lewis & Clark Loss 12-15 1190.44 Jan 22nd Pacific Confrontational Pac Con
137 Portland State Win 15-11 1605.33 Jan 22nd Pacific Confrontational Pac Con
113 Claremont Win 11-8 1678.03 Feb 4th Stanford Open
287 Portland** Win 13-4 1143.82 Ignored Feb 4th Stanford Open
291 California-Santa Cruz-B** Win 13-3 1123.06 Ignored Feb 4th Stanford Open
320 Stanford-B** Win 12-2 913.66 Ignored Feb 4th Stanford Open
138 Occidental Win 12-7 1718.79 Feb 5th Stanford Open
111 Washington-B Win 10-9 1443.57 Feb 5th Stanford Open
9 Oregon Loss 7-11 1670.25 Mar 4th Stanford Invite Mens
29 Utah State Loss 4-13 1238.27 Mar 4th Stanford Invite Mens
44 Victoria Loss 5-13 1096.72 Mar 4th Stanford Invite Mens
109 Southern California Win 8-7 1448.91 Mar 5th Stanford Invite Mens
57 Stanford Loss 9-11 1333.04 Mar 5th Stanford Invite Mens
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)