#113 Lehigh (8-7)

avg: 1284.08  •  sd: 89.2  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
124 Indiana Loss 8-13 730.1 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
64 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 10-9 1587.5 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
102 Richmond Loss 10-12 1088.76 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
224 Georgia Southern Win 12-11 986.24 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
34 William & Mary Loss 7-13 1090.67 Feb 17th Easterns Qualifier 2018
149 Davidson Win 14-9 1614.73 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
73 Michigan State Win 15-7 2019.54 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
84 Virginia Win 11-9 1651.35 Feb 18th Easterns Qualifier 2018
117 Pennsylvania Win 13-9 1689.88 Mar 24th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
86 Duke Loss 5-13 798.98 Mar 24th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
270 American Win 13-7 1264.83 Mar 24th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
151 George Mason Win 13-12 1241.84 Mar 24th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
61 James Madison Loss 8-11 1106.91 Mar 25th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
48 Dartmouth Loss 9-11 1316.22 Mar 25th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
28 Carnegie Mellon Loss 7-12 1198.14 Mar 25th Atlantic Coast Open 2018
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)